Sunday, 28 March 2021

Mar 20th - Preview for Kempton & Uttoxeter

Needless to say, I’m a bit knackered after the past 4 days, so this preview will be relatively short and snappy !


If I can find any bets in the morning, I look to issue them just after 9:00…


Kempton

2:05

There are a number of potential front runners in this - and that could make things tricky for all of them…
Zoffee in one - and whilst he’s a horse I like, he made a race ending mistake when taken on for the lead last time, at Doncaster.
Early favourite, Doukarov, is another who like to force the pace.
He was a good winner at Leicester last time, but was raised 10lb for that - and steps up in class tomorrow.
Peterborough is the third potential pace angle - and he is returning from a winter break.
A strong pace could set things up for a finisher - and Eskendash possibly fits the bill.
He too is returning from a break - and has also undergone wind surgery.
Onthefrontfoot has potential - and has been sent a long way to contest this.
Neither Havana Hermano or Fairway Freddy can be discounted - though their claims aren’t overly compelling.

2:40

Nightboattoclyro will be aiming for a 4 timer in this - and there’s a fair chance he will pull it off.
He’s only 6lb higher than when winning at Wetherby last month - and Jack Tudors 3lb claim effectively halves that.
Breffniboy racked up a 4 timer himself, earlier in the season - and whilst he has been beaten the last twice, he’s lost little in defeat.
He ran particularly well over course and distance, on his penultimate outing - and off a mark just 2lb higher tomorrow, he should be right in the mix.
Didtheyleaveuoutto is doubtlessly well handicapped - but he can’t jump !
He’s finished on the floor on his last 3 runs over hurdles - and you couldn’t back him with any confidence. If he jumps round cleanly, he will probably win - but it’s a big ‘if’.
Vive le Roi ran well at Newbury last time - and he should run well again tomorrow, off a 2lb lower mark and over a slightly shorter trip.
Whilst Vorashann could be interesting on his return from a winter break.
He was sent off a very sort priced favourite for a 4 year old handicap at Chepstow in October, but disappointed badly - however, he may have simply been feeling the effects of a run 7 days earlier...

3:15

Falco Blitz and My Way head the betting for this - but both look a little vulnerable off 9lb higher marks, for recent wins.
That said, both are obviously in good form - and Falco Blitz in particular, looks a progressive horse.
I had a sneaking fancy for Smarty Wild at Cheltenham on Wednesday - but he was taken out of the race.
It’s therefore interesting to see him running here…
He won well over course and distance, in January - and must have a good chance tomorrow, off a mark just 6lb higher.
Mellow Ben hasn’t got home the last twice, having been given very forceful rides over further.
I suspect he will try and make all again tomorrow - and he is weighted to go close.
Vinnie the Hoddie returns after a winter break - but had some good form in the autumn. It would be no surprise to see him run well.
Domain de Lisle could be quite interesting - if his recent wind surgery has had the desired effect.
He’s certainly potentially well handicapped - though hasn’t shown a strong preference for decent ground.


Uttoxeter

1:50


Theme Tune looks the obvious one in this, on his handicap debut after 2 wins in novice races.
It’s impossible to know if he is well weighted - but an opening mark of 125 looks fair.
The betting tomorrow will doubtless reveal a bit more !
Saint Dalina has run well the last twice, in relatively strong contests.
There’s no reason why he shouldn’t run well again tomorrow.
I’d Better Go Now won well at Perth in September, before twice running poorly in better races.
He’s now back on a mark just 4lb higher than the one he won from - and if he’s ready to do himself justice after a 100 day break, he could go close.
 
2:25

This is always a good race - with decent novices often targeted at it.
I suspect that the case with St Barts.
He was impressive when winning a novice handicap at Newbury, in December - and could well be up to defying an 8lb higher mark.
Ask me Early was really impressive, in winning a couple of novice handicaps at Chepstow, but then disappointed, when a short priced fav for an open handicap at Sandown.
He will be sporting a first time tongue tie tomorrow - suggesting he may have had a breathing issue. If that has been resolved, he could be hard to beat.
Eclair Surf won well at Sandown last month - and a 5lb rise for that, doesn’t look overly harsh.
Young Wolf has been pitched in deep, for his last 3 runs and whilst he’s shown very little, he has been dropped 7lb as a result. A return to form wouldn’t be a massive surprise.

3:00

Wilde About Oscar is a decent novice - but whether he’s up to defying a rating of 146 in open company, remains to be seen.
He won well at Exeter last time, having disappointed on his previous outing in the Grade 1 Challow hurdle.
However, the very fact he ran in a grade 1 event (and was well backed for it), suggests he may be better than a handicapper.
Rockadenn did really well to win at Taunton last time, considering he raced far too freely throughout the race.
In the circumstances, a 5lb rise seems perfectly reasonable.
Mint Condition’s 2 most recent races having been in grade 2 events.
He was an unlucky loser of the first one at Warwick: but then disappointed when a short priced favourite at Haydock. He’ll need to bounce back from that…

3:35

I suspect Time to get up has been layed out for this…
He was ante-post favourite for the Kim Muir at Cheltenham - and I was a little surprised when he wasn’t declared for that race. Clearly connections had this contest in mind !
He was really impressive when winning his most recent race at Wincanton - and could easily defy an 8lb higher mark tomorrow.
However, he’s already 5/2 in a 20 runner handicap - and he’s not even trained in Ireland !
Screaming Colours is - and he looks the main danger.
He was runner up to The Big Dog in in the Punchestown Grand National trial, on his most recent outing - and I’m a little surprised to see that he will be running off a mark only 5lb higher tomorrow.
He looks to have a very solid chance…
Highland Hunter has been targeted at this race by Paul Nichols - but a mark of 145 looks plenty high enough.
Similarly, Achille will have his work cut out to defy a mark 4lb higher than when just run out of thing at Haydock, last month.
Captain Drake was runner up in this race 12 months ago, off a mark just 2lb lower than tomorrow - so he must have every chance of going close.
Whilst The two Amigos is another who should run well - though probably isn’t quite well enough handicapped to win…

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