Todays Suggested bets
Matrix bets
Cheltenham
1:55
Come on Teddy 5 units win 10/1
Everglow 1 unit win 33/1
2:30
Mister Fisher 5 units win 8/1
Chris's Dream 1 unit win 33/1
3:05
Lisnagar Oscar 5 units win 11/1
3:40
The Shunter 3 units win 7/2
Sully Doc 2 units win 12/1
Coole Cody 2 units win 33/1
4:50
Hold the Note 5 units win 8/1
Shantou Flyer 2 units win 10/1
Mount Ida 1 unit win 6/1
Best bets
Cheltenham
1:55
Come on Teddy 0.5pt win 10/1
2:30
Mister Fisher 0.5pt win 8/1
3:05
Lisnagar Oscar 0.5pt win 11/1
4:50
Hold the Note 0.5pt win 8/1
At the start of the week, I expected Thursday to be the day
when I suggested the most bets - and that’s how it’s turned out.
Tuesday was a bit busier than I expect, due to me making a late decision to side with a couple - but I had the greatest expectations for today.
Make or break day !
I’ve issued 4 Best bets - and I like them all.
That said, I can see plenty of dangers in each of the races, so I’ll be more than happy if just one of them comes home in front.
If all 4 happened to do the decent thing, then you probably wouldn’t hear from me tomorrow ! (and I suspect many of you wouldn’t be in a fit state to hear, regardless !).
Suffice to say, I fully expect to be emailing you at the same time in the morning - but we can dream :)
Here’s the rationale behind todays selection…
Cheltenham
I’m really looking forward to the opening race on the card - but I can’t see a bet in it.
I hope Envoi Allen wins (racing needs its superstars) - and I think he will - but he’s going to have a job on.
A half case can be made for all 7 of his rivals - so he really will need to be top class if he’s going to beat them all.
I’ve had a small bet on Darver Star - and I’ll probably do the same with Fussil Raffles - but it really is just a race to watch and savour.
I honestly don’t know why Come On Teddy isn’t a few points shorter in the betting for the 1:55.
On the book, he has virtually the same chance as the favourite, Imperial Alcazar - but I’d always prefer to be with the horse who has saved something for the big day.
He’s a young improver, with a course and distance win to his name.
It’s not an overly strong race and 10/1+ is just too big.
For the Matrix, I think Everglow is worth a small saver.
I think he has a chance - and again, 33/1 is too big a price.
I’m just as keen on Mister Fisher in the Ryanair (2:30).
The ground has come right for him - and again, I expected him to be a couple of points shorter in the betting.
He is held by Samcro and Melon, on festival form from last year - but he was only 6 then - and I would expect him to have improved sufficiently in the interim, to take his revenge.
Min and Imperial Aura could be dangers - but at a price, I would rather have a saver on Chris’s Dream.
He’s a class horse - and 2m4f round Cheltenham should be perfect for him.
He’s worth a small play for the Matrix, at 33/1.
I wouldn’t be quite so confident about Lisnagar Oscar in the Stayers hurdle (3:05) - but I still think he’s a decent bet.
He won the race last year - and whilst he was a big price that day, there was no fluke about it.
He’s another for whom the drying ground will be a real positive - whilst his last time out run at Haydock suggested that wind surgery has got him back to his peak.
I would be a little fearful of Paisley Park, Fury Road and Flooring Porter - but none of them in particular (so they don’t warrant a saver).
The Shunter clearly is the one to beat in the 3:40 - but his price is plenty short enough.
He’s been very cleverly campaigned - and is bound to be spot on in his attempt to scoop a £100K bonus.
I think this is the right race for him - and if you are betting in it, you have to cover on him…
The 2 more conventional ones of most interest, are Sully Doc and Coole Cody.
Sully Doc looks much improved this season - and the form of both his runs, looks particularly strong.
Coole Cody won the Paddy Power off a mark just 6lb lower - and looks to have been layed out for this race.
He’s likely to go from the front and whilst that won’t be easy for him, I can see him running a really big race.
Both of them are worth small bets on the Matrix, with stakes covered on The Shunter.
I don’t have a strong view on the 4:15 - so on such a busy betting day, it’s a race I’m happy to pass on.
I’ve had a small bet myself, on Skyace - though I’m not sure she’ll be up to giving weight to most of her rivals.
I’ve also backed Telmesomethinggirl - though her price has dropped to a point where I’d not now be so interested in her.
Officially speaking, it’s just a watching race.
Hold the Note is the final best bet of the day, in the 4:50.
He’s another one that I’m quite keen on - and expected to be a bit shorter in the betting.
The case for him is quite obvious: he was third at last years festival, in a very hot race.
With natural progression, I would have expected him to be on a mark 5lb higher this year - but instead he is 5lb lower.
I think that’s because he had a breathing issue - but his latest run suggests that may have been resolved.
Shantou Flyer is the big danger. He could be very well handicapped - and has excellent course form; whilst Mount Ida is the potential fly in the ointment - as she may have been layed out for this race.
It’s worth covering stakes on both of them, for the Matrix.
Tuesday was a bit busier than I expect, due to me making a late decision to side with a couple - but I had the greatest expectations for today.
Make or break day !
I’ve issued 4 Best bets - and I like them all.
That said, I can see plenty of dangers in each of the races, so I’ll be more than happy if just one of them comes home in front.
If all 4 happened to do the decent thing, then you probably wouldn’t hear from me tomorrow ! (and I suspect many of you wouldn’t be in a fit state to hear, regardless !).
Suffice to say, I fully expect to be emailing you at the same time in the morning - but we can dream :)
Here’s the rationale behind todays selection…
Cheltenham
I’m really looking forward to the opening race on the card - but I can’t see a bet in it.
I hope Envoi Allen wins (racing needs its superstars) - and I think he will - but he’s going to have a job on.
A half case can be made for all 7 of his rivals - so he really will need to be top class if he’s going to beat them all.
I’ve had a small bet on Darver Star - and I’ll probably do the same with Fussil Raffles - but it really is just a race to watch and savour.
I honestly don’t know why Come On Teddy isn’t a few points shorter in the betting for the 1:55.
On the book, he has virtually the same chance as the favourite, Imperial Alcazar - but I’d always prefer to be with the horse who has saved something for the big day.
He’s a young improver, with a course and distance win to his name.
It’s not an overly strong race and 10/1+ is just too big.
For the Matrix, I think Everglow is worth a small saver.
I think he has a chance - and again, 33/1 is too big a price.
I’m just as keen on Mister Fisher in the Ryanair (2:30).
The ground has come right for him - and again, I expected him to be a couple of points shorter in the betting.
He is held by Samcro and Melon, on festival form from last year - but he was only 6 then - and I would expect him to have improved sufficiently in the interim, to take his revenge.
Min and Imperial Aura could be dangers - but at a price, I would rather have a saver on Chris’s Dream.
He’s a class horse - and 2m4f round Cheltenham should be perfect for him.
He’s worth a small play for the Matrix, at 33/1.
I wouldn’t be quite so confident about Lisnagar Oscar in the Stayers hurdle (3:05) - but I still think he’s a decent bet.
He won the race last year - and whilst he was a big price that day, there was no fluke about it.
He’s another for whom the drying ground will be a real positive - whilst his last time out run at Haydock suggested that wind surgery has got him back to his peak.
I would be a little fearful of Paisley Park, Fury Road and Flooring Porter - but none of them in particular (so they don’t warrant a saver).
The Shunter clearly is the one to beat in the 3:40 - but his price is plenty short enough.
He’s been very cleverly campaigned - and is bound to be spot on in his attempt to scoop a £100K bonus.
I think this is the right race for him - and if you are betting in it, you have to cover on him…
The 2 more conventional ones of most interest, are Sully Doc and Coole Cody.
Sully Doc looks much improved this season - and the form of both his runs, looks particularly strong.
Coole Cody won the Paddy Power off a mark just 6lb lower - and looks to have been layed out for this race.
He’s likely to go from the front and whilst that won’t be easy for him, I can see him running a really big race.
Both of them are worth small bets on the Matrix, with stakes covered on The Shunter.
I don’t have a strong view on the 4:15 - so on such a busy betting day, it’s a race I’m happy to pass on.
I’ve had a small bet myself, on Skyace - though I’m not sure she’ll be up to giving weight to most of her rivals.
I’ve also backed Telmesomethinggirl - though her price has dropped to a point where I’d not now be so interested in her.
Officially speaking, it’s just a watching race.
Hold the Note is the final best bet of the day, in the 4:50.
He’s another one that I’m quite keen on - and expected to be a bit shorter in the betting.
The case for him is quite obvious: he was third at last years festival, in a very hot race.
With natural progression, I would have expected him to be on a mark 5lb higher this year - but instead he is 5lb lower.
I think that’s because he had a breathing issue - but his latest run suggests that may have been resolved.
Shantou Flyer is the big danger. He could be very well handicapped - and has excellent course form; whilst Mount Ida is the potential fly in the ointment - as she may have been layed out for this race.
It’s worth covering stakes on both of them, for the Matrix.
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